Sampled the vineyard yesterday, confirming that Syrah (approaching 23° Brix) is two full weeks ahead of Pinot (not quite 21° Brix) this year. Awesomely weird; feels like down is suddenly up.
Jennifer Thomson tweeted this morning that “Diageo reports they are bringing Chard & Pinot in around the clock for next 72 hrs. Anything 23.5° Brix + or close accepted.” There is a stench of panic in the air (or did the dairy guys just fertilize?). Rain is on the way. The latest NOAA forecast discussion predicts an accumulation of 1″-3″ in the first part of next week:
The main story of the forecast continues to be the early season storm system impacting the region next week. The GFS and ECMWF are in better agreement about the timing of this storm…giving extra confidence to the forecast. For now…the first round of rain will approach the north bay Monday morning and travel south through the region during the day. The entire region should see precipitation by Monday night. Tuesday will see mostly dry conditions…with occasional lingering showers in the area. The big day next week looks to be Wednesday…as both the GFS and ECMWF show the greatest accumulation of precip…colder temperatures…and possible strong winds. Other than a few showers possible on Thursday…dry conditions will prevail through the rest of the work week. Daytime high temperatures will also return to near normal values.
This is worrisome. But not the end of the world, or even of the vintage. There will be the usual wailing in the wine media asking “did you pick before the rain, or after?” as though it were definitive for wine quality. But there is so much else going on affecting wine quality this year a few inches of rain are just a minor distraction. For instance, Adam Lee posted this morning that one of their blocks of Pinot yielded just 1.5 tons off of 3 acres. That’s what is going to define this vintage, not rain.
I expect a compressed harvest and tank space issues. I’m off to Central Valley Builders Supply this morning to pick up some T-bins (fermenters) just in case.


At this time last year the unripe fruit were the size of limes, or small lemons. Moments after I posted to Twitter about the short walnut crop a friend from San Francisco replied with: “@jkellyca I am also having trouble sourcing my nocino walnuts. Sad!” 
